Sport Picks

Brazil

Cearense 2025 Estadio Mauro Sampaio (Romeirao)

Match Events

22'

Sub

Kiuan In: Ciel

Out: Kiuan

22'

Lucas Sergio

55'

Allanzinho

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cariri FC play Ferroviario in the Cearense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cariri FC averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Ferroviario averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Cariri FC won 0, Ferroviario won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Cariri FC and 1.05 for Ferroviario. This points to a Ferroviario double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Cariri FC

33%

Draws

40%

Ferroviario

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferroviario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Ferroviario has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cariri FC.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ferroviario.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense 2025 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Cariri FC Clean Sheet 20%

Ferroviario Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cariri FC	Ferroviario
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	7	17
Draws	8	9
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	0.2	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.6	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.20	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.60	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Cearense

Cariri FC vs Ferroviario

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15

Avg xA / game 0.1

Ferroviario Compare

Top Goalscorer Allanzinho

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jeffao

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 28 / 100

Ferroviario 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cariri FC Ferroviario

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariri FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Ferroviario let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cariri FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Ferroviario

0.2 Goals Scored 1.5

0.6 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ceara	5	5	0	0	12:3	15
2	Maracana	5	2	1	2	6:4	7
3	Horizonte	5	1	3	1	5:6	6
4	Floresta EC	5	1	2	2	7:8	5
5	Cariri FC	5	0	0	5	2:21	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fortaleza	5	4	0	1	13:3	12
2	Tirol	5	2	2	1	8:3	8
3	Ferroviario	5	2	1	2	8:7	7
4	Iguatu	5	1	2	2	7:5	5
5	Barbalha	5	1	1	3	6:14	4