Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Hamburger W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ernst Abbe Sportfeld, Jena
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Alcaide O.
16'
Juckel N.
17' Event
Bartz P.
Assist: Linberg C.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Carl Zeiss Jena W and Hamburger W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Carl Zeiss Jena W
6%
Draws
90%
Hamburger W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hamburger W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamburger W come out ahead of Carl Zeiss Jena W on wins alone.
  • Hamburger W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Carl Zeiss Jena W Clean Sheet 10%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carl Zeiss Jena W Hamburger W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 3 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Hamburger W
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Hamburger W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
0:4
Nov 24, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Hamburger W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
4:2
Aug 4, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs Hamburger W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carl Zeiss Jena W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcaide O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Hamburger W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carl Zeiss Jena W 10 / 100
Hamburger W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carl Zeiss Jena W Hamburger W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Carl Zeiss Jena W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Carl Zeiss Jena W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carl Zeiss Jena W VS Hamburger W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carl Zeiss Jena W

(Home)
22 Jul
1.FC Nurnberg W
0 : 1
Carl Zeiss Jena W
17 May
Carl Zeiss Jena W
0 : 3
Koln W
10 May
Werder Bremen W
7 : 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W
03 May
Carl Zeiss Jena W
1 : 5
Freiburg W
25 Apr
SGS Essen W
4 : 3
Carl Zeiss Jena W
Page 1 of 6

Hamburger W

(Away)
25 Jul
Union Berlin W
2 : 2
Hamburger W
22 Jul
Hamburger W
6 : 0
Holstein Kiel W
18 Jul
Hamburger W
5 : 1
Odense W
17 May
Hamburger W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
09 May
Koln W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)