Sport Picks
Carlisle vs Forest Green
England
National League Brunton Park, Carlisle 
Match Events
8'
8'
Kelly K.
Assist: Clarke J.
14'
14'
Abrefa K.
27'
27'
Nicholson B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Carlisle at 2.07 per game, Forest Green at 1.79.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 15%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carlisle | Forest Green |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Forest Green
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 National League
Forest Green vs Carlisle
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Carlisle vs Forest Green
4:2
Jan 22, 2022 League Two
Forest Green vs Carlisle
3:0
Oct 2, 2021 League Two
Carlisle vs Forest Green
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carlisle Compare
Top Goalscorer Obiero M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Forest Green Compare
Top Goalscorer Kelly K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carlisle 35 / 100
Forest Green 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carlisle Forest Green
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forest Green Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Carlisle scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Forest Green has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carlisle VS Forest Green
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlisle
(Home) 15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Carlisle
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
28 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 1 Carlisle
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 1 Hornchurch
08 Aug
Carlisle
2 : 3 Worthing FC
Page 1 of 3
Forest Green
(Away) 15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0 Gateshead
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2 Altrincham
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Forest Green
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Forest Green
15 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 2 Forest Green
18 Jul
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Forest Green
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
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