Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Sub
Richardson K. In: Storey L.
Out: Richardson K.
46'
46'
Sub
Butterfield J. In: Moore E.
Out: Butterfield J.
46'
46'
Sub
Home J. In: Anifowose J.
Out: Home J.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Carlisle and Gateshead finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlisle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Carlisle carry the better recent record into this one.
- Carlisle are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 16%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carlisle | Gateshead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Gateshead
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Carlisle
0:3
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Carlisle
2:0
Aug 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Carlisle
1:1
Jul 16, 2011 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Carlisle
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carlisle 84 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carlisle Gateshead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carlisle's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Gateshead let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Gateshead registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carlisle VS Gateshead
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlisle
(Home) 08 Aug
Carlisle
2 : 3 Worthing FC
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3 Carlisle
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2 Salford
21 Jul
Darlington FC
2 : 4 Carlisle
03 May
Carlisle
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Carlisle
2 : 3 Worthing FC
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2 Salford
03 May
Carlisle
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
25 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0 Brackley
11 Apr
Carlisle
3 : 0 Sutton
Page 1 of 3
Gateshead
(Away) 08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1 Gateshead
05 Aug
Consett
6 : 1 Gateshead
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1 Gateshead
28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4 South Shields
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1 Gateshead
05 Aug
Consett
6 : 1 Gateshead
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1 Gateshead
14 Jul
Hebburn Town
3 : 3 Gateshead
11 Jul
Heaton Stannington
1 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
