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Carlisle vs Kidderminster

England England

National League Brunton Park, Carlisle
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carlisle host Kidderminster in the National League. This one's hard to separate. Kidderminster have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Carlisle have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Carlisle slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2006, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.69) point toward Kidderminster. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Carlisle
30%
Draws
41%
Kidderminster
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kidderminster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kidderminster have won more games recently than Carlisle.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 13%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlisle Kidderminster
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2006 EFL Trophy
Carlisle vs Kidderminster
1:0
Apr 10, 2004 League Two
Carlisle vs Kidderminster
1:0
Oct 3, 2003 League Two
Kidderminster vs Carlisle
2:1
Feb 8, 2003 League Two
Carlisle vs Kidderminster
2:2
Nov 9, 2002 League Two
Kidderminster vs Carlisle
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 31 / 100
Kidderminster 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlisle Kidderminster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlisle's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Carlisle has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kidderminster has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Kidderminster
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
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Kidderminster

(Away)
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Kidderminster
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
4 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
15 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
21 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
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