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Carlisle vs Salford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup Brunton Park, Carlisle

Salford

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Carlisle at 1.85 goals for, 1.15 against; Salford at 1.61 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Carlisle have won 2 to Salford's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Carlisle. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Carlisle

15%

Draws

41%

Salford

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlisle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Carlisle taking it.
Salford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Salford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Carlisle Clean Sheet 16%

Salford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carlisle	Salford
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	5
Losses	6	8
Goals Scored	1.85	1.61
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly

Carlisle vs Salford

0:2

May 3, 2025 League Two

Carlisle vs Salford

2:2

Nov 9, 2024 League Two

Salford vs Carlisle

0:1

Apr 29, 2023 League Two

Carlisle vs Salford

2:3

Nov 19, 2022 League Two

Salford vs Carlisle

1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 36 / 100

Salford 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carlisle Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlisle found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Salford conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Salford

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)

28 Oct

Carlisle

3 : 0

Harrogate

24 Oct

Solihull Moors

1 : 2

Carlisle

17 Oct

Carlisle

2 : 1

Tamworth

10 Oct

Carlisle

0 : 0

Kidderminster

03 Oct

Aldershot

1 : 3

Carlisle

Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)

26 Oct

Walsall

2 : 4

Salford

20 Oct

Bristol Rovers

1 : 2

Salford

17 Oct

Salford

2 : 1

Crawley Town

10 Oct

Cheltenham

0 : 2

Salford

06 Oct

Accrington

2 : 1

Salford

Page 1 of 6

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Carlisle vs Salford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Carlisle

Salford

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

Salford

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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