Sport Picks
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League Brunton Park, Carlisle 
Match Events
7'
7'
Azeez M.
28'
28'
Richards J.
Assist: Horton B.
33'
33'
Linney R.
Assist: Desbois A.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Carlisle and Scunthorpe finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlisle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scunthorpe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Carlisle come out ahead of Scunthorpe on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Carlisle have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 13%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carlisle | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe
4:2
Feb 10, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 National League
Scunthorpe vs Carlisle
0:1
Jan 1, 2022 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Carlisle
0:1
Sep 18, 2021 League Two
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carlisle Compare
Top Goalscorer Azeez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Linney R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Richards J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barrows R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carlisle 30 / 100
Scunthorpe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carlisle Scunthorpe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carlisle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carlisle found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Scunthorpe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carlisle VS Scunthorpe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlisle
(Home) 29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 1 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 3
Scunthorpe
(Away) 29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Eastleigh
3 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25:17 | 22 |
| 3 | Southend | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 21 |
| 4 | Altrincham | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Fylde | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Aldershot | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Kidderminster | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 10 | Hornchurch | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 17 |
| 12 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 13 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Halifax | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 18 | Woking | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 19 | Boston United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8:16 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:28 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6:25 | 4 |
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