Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Kelly G.
Assist: Ajiboye D.
7'
7'
McAdam K.
43'
43'
Daley-Campbell V.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Carlisle and Southend finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southend
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Southend come out ahead of Carlisle on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Carlisle's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carlisle | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Southend
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Southend
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 National League
Southend vs Carlisle
1:2
Apr 3, 2021 League Two
Southend vs Carlisle
0:2
Sep 19, 2020 League Two
Carlisle vs Southend
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carlisle Compare
Top Goalscorer Kelly G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Chambers-Parillon L.
1 Goals Assists Leader McAdam K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carlisle 40 / 100
Southend 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carlisle Southend
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carlisle found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Southend conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carlisle VS Southend
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlisle
(Home) 26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Carlisle
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 1 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 3
Southend
(Away) 26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1 Southend
22 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Southend
08 Aug
Altrincham
1 : 3 Southend
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Southend | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:16 | 20 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Harrogate | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Kidderminster | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Altrincham | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Worthing FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Sutton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Hornchurch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Forest Green | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 14 | Halifax | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Woking | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Barrow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 18 | Boston United | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Carlisle | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:28 | 8 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:26 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
