Sport Picks

Carlisle vs Tamworth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup

Tamworth

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tamworth have shipped 1.84 goals a game lately, while Carlisle have conceded 1.3 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Carlisle slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.94 - 1.50) back Carlisle to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Carlisle

15%

Draws

54%

Tamworth

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Tamworth have won more games recently than Carlisle.
Win probability leans Carlisle's way, sitting at 42%.
Tamworth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Carlisle, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%

Carlisle Clean Sheet 16%

Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carlisle	Tamworth
Matches Played	27	31
Wins	13	14
Draws	7	7
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	2	1.84
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.84
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National League

Tamworth vs Carlisle

2:1

Nov 29, 2025 National League

Carlisle vs Tamworth

2:1

Nov 27, 2010 FA Cup

Carlisle vs Tamworth

3:2

Dec 11, 2004 National League

Tamworth vs Carlisle

1:0

Sep 17, 2004 National League

Carlisle vs Tamworth

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 41 / 100

Tamworth 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carlisle Tamworth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carlisle scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Tamworth has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Carlisle went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Tamworth

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)

03 Oct

Aldershot

1 : 3

Carlisle

29 Sept

AFC Fylde

0 : 2

Carlisle

26 Sept

Carlisle

2 : 5

Woking

19 Sept

Eastleigh

1 : 0

Carlisle

15 Sept

Carlisle

1 : 1

Forest Green

Page 1 of 6

Tamworth

(Away)

06 Oct

Tamworth

1 : 0

Leeds U21

03 Oct

Hartlepool

0 : 1

Tamworth

30 Sept

Tamworth

2 : 0

Sutton

26 Sept

Aldershot

5 : 1

Tamworth

19 Sept

Tamworth

2 : 1

Wealdstone

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Harborough -

TBD -

Stourbridge 1

Rushall 3

FC Witham Town 3

Stotfold 2

St. Albans 2

Hashtag 0

AFC Emley 3

Bishop Auckland 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Lower Breck 5

Thornaby 1

TBD -

Chester -

North Ferriby FC 0

Barton Town 2

Bourne 2

Boldmere St Michaels 3

Warrington Rylands 3

Hyde 1

TBD -

Chorley -

Wellingborough 3

Kettering 4

Quorn 2

Shepshed 1

Knowle 1

Worcester 2

Alfreton 0

Stratford 2

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Northampton on Chenecks 0

TBD -

Hereford -

Halesowen 3

Basford Utd. 1

Stamford 0

Mickleover 1

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton -

TBD -

Whitby 2

Ashton United 5

South Shields -

TBD -

Avro 0

Witton Albion 2

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 4

Grays 0

Leiston 5

Hednesford -

TBD -

Coventry United 2

Bedworth United 1

Hebburn Town -

TBD -

Stockton 3

Guiseley 4

Curzon Ashton 1

Bradford PA 2

Lancaster 3

Tadcaster Albion 1

Barrow -

TBD -

Dunstable 1

Woodford Town 3

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

Cornard United 0

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Gloucester City 5

Mangotsfield 1

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Shildon 2

Warrington Town 6

South Liverpool 4

Prestwich Heys 3

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Redcar Athletic 1

Stocksbridge 0

TBD -

Macclesfield -

Vauxhall 0

Dunston 2

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Leamington 3

Ilkeston 1

Sherwood Colliery 2

Gainsborough 4

Northampton Sileby 0

Anstey Nomads 4

Cleethorpes 1

Newcastle Town 2

Altrincham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Worksop -

Garforth 1

United of Manchester 5

Ossett United 1

Pontefract Collieries 0

Bury FC 8

Wythenshawe FC 0

Workington 3

Marske United 0

Bromsgrove 2

Nuneaton 0

Sporting Khalsa 0

Leek Town 5

TBD -

Harrogate -

Leighton Town 1

Gorleston 4

London Lions 2

Bury Town 4

Spalding United -

TBD -

Hanley Town 2

Abbey Hulton 1

Cambridge City 6

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Yaxley 1

Buckhurst Hill 4

Alvechurch 2

Wolverhampton City 0

Lye Town 1

Racing Club Warwick 5

Desborough Town 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 4

Ipswich Wanderers 0

Stanway Rovers 1

Needham Market 3

TBD -

Braintree -

Morecambe -

TBD -

Southport -

Redcar Town 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Heaton Stannington 1

Knaresborough Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Trafford 3

Northwich Victoria 2

Atherton Collieries 3

Prescot Cables 2

Horbury Town 0

Salisbury -

TBD -

Taunton Town 4

Millbrook 0

Dulwich Hamlet 4

East Grinstead Town 0

Faversham 2

Welling 3

Thame United 3

Reading City 2

Banbury 1

Exmouth Town 2

Whitehawk 2

Eastbourne Borough 4

Holmesdale 1

Windsor & Eton 5

Sutton -

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Truro -

Fleetlands 0

Cirencester 3

TBD -

Farnham -

Chesham -

TBD -

Ware 6

Fakenham 4

Harleston Town 3

Romford 1

Real Bedford 4

Royston Town 1

TBD -

Forest Green -

Three Bridges 0

Kingstonian 1

Leatherhead 3

Croydon Athletic 0

Ascot United 1

Pagham 3

Hanworth Villa 4

Whitstable Town 1

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Lewes 2

Cray Wanderers 3

TBD -

Maidstone -

Yate 3

Devizes Town 0

Chippenham Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Uxbridge 3

Haywards Heath 0

TBD -

Farnborough -

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Slimbridge 4

Wells City 0

Hungerford 4

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Bishops Cleeve 2

Poole Town 1

Tadley Calleva 3

Laverstock & Ford 1

Westfield 1

Dartford 3

Hayes & Yeading 2

Camberley Town 1

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Ramsgate 1

Bracknell Town 0

Torquay -

TBD -

Basingstoke 0

AFC Stoneham 1

Brixham 2

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Oxford City -

Billericay -

TBD -

Frenford 0

Enfield Town 4

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Crowborough 4

Whyteleafe 3

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Wimborne 3

Portishead Town 1

Brackley -

TBD -

Portchester 2

Portland United 1

Canvey Island 2

Newmarket 1

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aveley 4

Cheshunt 2

Concord Rangers 2

Brentwood 4

Brantham 0

Waltham Abbey 7

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Southend -

TBD -

Malvern Town 1

Redditch 5

Belper Town 0

Evesham 3

Stortford 2

Berkhamsted Town 3

Hendon 7

Hullbridge 3

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

St. Blazey 1

Tiverton 2

Sholing 2

Andover New Street 0

Winslow United 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Bath City 0

Weymouth 2

Broadfields United 1

Chichester City 4

SE Dons 2

Erith Town 0

Falmouth Town 2

Frome Town 4

Gosport Borough 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Walton & Hersham -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Margate 1

Snodland 3

Redhill 1

Sheppey United 2

Chertsey Town 3

Carshalton 2

Sittingbourne 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4

Flackwell Heath 0

Hanwell Town 1

Burgess Hill 3

Jersey Bulls 1

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Folkestone -

Southall FC 2

Cobham 1

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Egham Town 0

Chatham 4

Quarter-finals

Harborough 1

Rushall 0

FC Witham Town 0

St. Albans 3

AFC Emley 0

Spennymoor 4

Lower Breck 1

Chester 2

Barton Town 3

Boldmere St Michaels 1

Warrington Rylands 0

Chorley 1

Kettering 2

Quorn 0

Worcester 2

Stratford 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Hereford 2

Halesowen 2

Mickleover 0

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton 1

Ashton United 0

South Shields 7

Witton Albion 0

Hitchin 1

Leiston 2

Hednesford 0

Coventry United 1

Hebburn Town 1

Guiseley 4

Bradford PA 1

Lancaster 0

Barrow -

TBD -

Woodford Town 1

Mulbarton Wanderers 2

AFC Totton 0

Gloucester City 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine 3

Radcliffe 2

Warrington Town 3

South Liverpool 0

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Redcar Athletic 1

Macclesfield 2

Dunston 0

Scarborough Athletic 2

Leamington 1

Gainsborough 4

Anstey Nomads 2

Newcastle Town 1

Altrincham -

TBD -

Telford 4

Worksop 7

United of Manchester 4

Ossett United 1

Bury FC 5

Workington 1

Bromsgrove 2

Leek Town 1

TBD -

Harrogate -

Gorleston 3

Bury Town 4

Spalding United 2

Hanley Town 0

Cambridge City 3

Buckhurst Hill 1

Alvechurch 3

Racing Club Warwick 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 1

Needham Market 3

Braintree 6

Morecambe 2

Southport 0

Redcar Town 2

Darlington FC 4

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Heaton Stannington 1

Trafford 2

Atherton Collieries 2

Prescot Cables 0

Salisbury 4

Taunton Town 1

Dulwich Hamlet 4

Welling 1

Thame United 6

Exmouth Town 4

Eastbourne Borough 3

Windsor & Eton 0

Sutton -

TBD -

Merthyr Town 1

Truro 3

Cirencester 4

Farnham 3

Chesham 7

Ware 2

Harleston Town 1

Real Bedford 2

TBD -

Forest Green -

Kingstonian 0

Leatherhead 1

Pagham 0

Hanworth Villa 6

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford 2

King’s Lynn 1

Hemel Hempstead 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

Cray Wanderers 3

Maidstone 1

Yate 1

Chippenham Town 2

Uxbridge 4

Farnborough 2

Slimbridge 1

Hungerford 3

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Bishops Cleeve 0

Tadley Calleva 1

Dartford 4

Hayes & Yeading 2

Tonbridge 2

Ramsgate 1

Torquay 6

AFC Stoneham 1

Dorchester 0

Oxford City 2

Billericay 1

Enfield Town 3

Hampton & Richmond 4

Crowborough 6

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wimborne 3

Brackley 1

Portchester 0

Canvey Island 0

Chelmsford 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aveley 2

Brentwood 3

Waltham Abbey 1

Dagenham & Red. 4

Southend -

TBD -

Redditch 3

Evesham 0

Berkhamsted Town 4

Hendon 1

Maidenhead 1

Ebbsfleet 3

Tiverton 0

Sholing 1

Swindon Supermarine 1

Weymouth 3

Chichester City 2

SE Dons 3

Frome Town 0

Plymouth Parkway 2

Walton & Hersham 0

Horsham FC 3

Snodland 0

Sheppey United 1

Chertsey Town 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2

Hanwell Town 2

Burgess Hill 1

Dover Ath. 4

Folkestone 2

Southall FC 6

Dorking Wanderers 7

Slough Town 0

Chatham 1

Semi-finals

Harborough 3

St. Albans 2

Spennymoor 4

Chester 1

Barton Town 1

Chorley 4

Kettering 1

Worcester 3

Gateshead -

TBD -

Stafford 3

Halesowen 2

Halifax -

TBD -

Buxton 0

South Shields 2

Leiston 3

Coventry United 1

Guiseley 1

Bradford PA 0

Barrow -

TBD -

Mulbarton Wanderers 1

Gloucester City 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Marine 2

Warrington Town 0

Boston United -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Macclesfield 4

Scarborough Athletic 3

Gainsborough 2

Anstey Nomads 3

Altrincham -

TBD -

Worksop 0

United of Manchester 3

Bury FC 2

Bromsgrove 1

TBD -

Harrogate -

Bury Town 1

Spalding United 5

Cambridge City 1

Alvechurch 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Braintree 1

Morecambe 3

Darlington FC 0

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

TBD -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Trafford 2

Atherton Collieries 5

Salisbury 5

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Thame United 0

Eastbourne Borough 1

Sutton -

TBD -

Truro 4

Cirencester 0

Chesham 4

Real Bedford 3

TBD -

Forest Green -

Leatherhead 1

Hanworth Villa 0

TBD -

Yeovil -

Bedford 5

Wingate & Finchley 3

Cray Wanderers 3

Chippenham Town 0

Uxbridge 3

Hungerford 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Tadley Calleva 2

Dartford 1

Tonbridge 0

Torquay 1

Oxford City 6

Enfield Town 1

Crowborough 1

Wimborne 2

Brackley 0

Chelmsford 2

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Brentwood 3

Dagenham & Red. 1

Southend -

TBD -

Redditch 0

Berkhamsted Town 2

Ebbsfleet 1

Sholing 2

Weymouth 1

SE Dons 5

Plymouth Parkway 2

Horsham FC 1

Sheppey United 0

Chertsey Town 2

Hanwell Town 1

Dover Ath. 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Chatham 0

Final

Harborough -

Spennymoor -

Chorley -

Worcester -

Gateshead -

Stafford -

Halifax -

South Shields -

Leiston -

Guiseley -

Barrow -

Gloucester City -

Hartlepool -

Marine -

Boston United -

Scunthorpe -

Macclesfield -

Anstey Nomads -

Altrincham -

United of Manchester -

Bury FC -

Harrogate -

Spalding United -

Alvechurch -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Morecambe -

Kidderminster -

Solihull Moors -

Carlisle -

Tamworth -

AFC Fylde -

Atherton Collieries -

Salisbury -

Eastbourne Borough -

Sutton -

Truro -

Chesham -

Forest Green -

Leatherhead -

Yeovil -

Bedford -

Cray Wanderers -

Uxbridge -

Hornchurch -

Aldershot -

Tadley Calleva -

Torquay -

Oxford City -

Wimborne -

Chelmsford -

Wealdstone -

Worthing FC -

Boreham Wood -

Woking -

Eastleigh -

Brentwood -

Southend -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sholing -

SE Dons -

Plymouth Parkway -

Chertsey Town -

Dover Ath. -

Dorking Wanderers -

Carlisle vs Tamworth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Carlisle

Tamworth

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

Tamworth

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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