Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carlisle vs Woking

England England

National League Brunton Park, Carlisle
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ogie S.
Assist: Putman J.
9' Event
Okoli C.
Own Goal
38'
Azeez M.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Carlisle and Woking finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Woking.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Carlisle
35%
Draws
40%
Woking
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Woking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Woking haven't matched Carlisle's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Woking taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 16%
Woking Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlisle Woking
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.92 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Woking
2:5
Dec 10, 2025 National League
Carlisle vs Woking
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 National League
Woking vs Carlisle
0:2
Feb 26, 2005 FA Trophy
Woking vs Carlisle
1:0
Dec 18, 2004 National League
Carlisle vs Woking
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlisle Compare

Top Goalscorer Linney R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Woking Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogie S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ward M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlisle 28 / 100
Woking 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlisle Woking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Woking Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carlisle scored in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Woking let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Carlisle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carlisle VS Woking
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlisle

(Home)
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Carlisle
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2
Scunthorpe
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Woking

(Away)
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Woking
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)