Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Carlow in this FAI Cup 2010 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castlebar Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castlebar Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Carlow.
- Model gives Carlow a 36% chance of winning this.
- Castlebar Celtic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Carlow, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Carlow Clean Sheet 12%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carlow | Castlebar Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 12 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2010 FAI Cup
Carlow vs Castlebar Celtic
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carlow 35 / 100
Castlebar Celtic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carlow Castlebar Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carlow scored in 89% of their last 9 games.
Castlebar Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Carlow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carlow VS Castlebar Celtic
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlow
(Home) 17 Apr
Sacred Heart
2 : 1 Carlow
28 Mar
Shelbourne
4 : 0 Carlow
29 Jun
Monaghan United
2 : 1 Carlow
06 Jun
Carlow
1 : 1 Monaghan United
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 2
06 Jun
Carlow
1 : 1 Monaghan United
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
04 May
Carlow
1 : 3 Waterford
13 Apr
Carlow
3 : 2 Cobh Ramblers
Castlebar Celtic
(Away) 15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1 Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1 Castlebar Celtic
11 May
North End United
1 : 4 Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
24 May
Mayfield Utd
3 : 2 Castlebar Celtic
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
