Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaghan United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monaghan United carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Monaghan United taking it.
- Monaghan United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Carlow Clean Sheet 20%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carlow | Monaghan United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 13 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 29, 2010 FAI Cup
Monaghan United vs Carlow
2:1
Jun 6, 2010 FAI Cup
Carlow vs Monaghan United
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carlow 24 / 100
Monaghan United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carlow Monaghan United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carlow scored in 89% of their last 9 games.
Monaghan United has conceded goals in 92% of their last 12 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Carlow stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Monaghan United
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlow
(Home) 17 Apr
Sacred Heart
2 : 1 Carlow
28 Mar
Shelbourne
4 : 0 Carlow
29 Jun
Monaghan United
2 : 1 Carlow
06 Jun
Carlow
1 : 1 Monaghan United
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
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06 Jun
Carlow
1 : 1 Monaghan United
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
04 May
Carlow
1 : 3 Waterford
13 Apr
Carlow
3 : 2 Cobh Ramblers
Monaghan United
(Away) 26 Aug
Monaghan United
: St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4 St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2 Monaghan United
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25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Monaghan United
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2 Monaghan United
04 May
Shelbourne
2 : 1 Monaghan United
20 Apr
Bohemians
1 : 2 Monaghan United
13 Apr
Cork City
6 : 0 Monaghan United
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
