Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carlstad vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Yonakhir B.
36' Event
Bulut E.
50' Event
Otieno E.

AI Match Summary

Carlstad in this Division 1 - Norra 2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Carlstad
30%
Draws
27%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Carlstad have won more games recently than Vasalund.
  • Model gives Carlstad a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Carlstad Clean Sheet 18%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carlstad Vasalund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Vasalund
4:3
May 1, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Carlstad
1:1
Aug 19, 2017 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Carlstad
0:1
May 1, 2017 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Vasalund
1:0
Aug 27, 2016 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Vasalund
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexis B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gran L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulut E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otieno E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carlstad 67 / 100
Vasalund 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carlstad Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlstad found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Vasalund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Carlstad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vasalund
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Carlstad

(Home)
02 Nov
Karlslund
1 : 4
Carlstad
27 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Sandviken
19 Oct
Sylvia
2 : 2
Carlstad
13 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Umea FC
06 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 2
Carlstad
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Vasalund

(Away)
23 Aug
Vasalund
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
20 Aug
Vasalund
1 : 2
Norrkoping
16 Aug
Pitea
1 : 1
Vasalund
09 Aug
Vasalund
2 : 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale
03 Aug
Vasalund
1 : 1
Sollentuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akropolis 30 23 6 1 77:28 75
2 Umea FC 30 17 5 8 52:35 56
3 Linkoping City 30 15 8 7 61:31 53
4 Carlstad 30 15 8 7 56:43 53
5 Karlstad 30 15 6 9 53:35 51
6 Vasalund 30 12 10 8 64:49 46
7 Sandviken 30 12 7 11 52:47 43
8 Nykopings 30 10 8 12 45:54 38
9 Sylvia 30 11 5 14 48:65 38
10 Karlslund 30 8 11 11 45:55 35
11 Gefle 30 10 4 16 33:48 34
12 Umea FF 30 9 7 14 38:55 34
13 Sollentuna 30 8 9 13 37:42 33
14 Boden 30 8 7 15 42:60 31
15 Rynninge 30 7 4 19 46:78 25
16 Forward 30 5 5 20 36:60 20
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra 2019 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superettan 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Superettan 2019 (Relegation)