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Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Corries

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Langley J.
81' Event
Thomas L.
88' Event
Jones-Thomas M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Carmarthen Town and Cardiff Corries finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carmarthen Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Carmarthen Town
30%
Draws
31%
Cardiff Corries
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carmarthen Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Carmarthen Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Carmarthen Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Carmarthen Town here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 14%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmarthen Town Cardiff Corries
Matches Played 40 32
Wins 17 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.08 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Corries
3:0
Feb 13, 2007 FAW Premier Cup
Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Corries
2:3
Jan 10, 2006 FAW Premier Cup
Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Corries
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carmarthen Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Langley J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Cardiff Corries Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmarthen Town 84 / 100
Cardiff Corries 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmarthen Town Cardiff Corries

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carmarthen Town found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (40 games).

Defensive concern: Cardiff Corries conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Carmarthen Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carmarthen Town VS Cardiff Corries
3 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmarthen Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1
Afan Lido
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Cardiff Corries

(Away)
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0
Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4
Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Cardiff Corries
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