Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026 Richmond Park
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Thomas L.
50' Event
Reffell K.
72' Event
Hinwood J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Carmarthen Town
6%
Draws
4%
Cwmbran Celtic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carmarthen Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cwmbran Celtic haven't matched Carmarthen Town's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Carmarthen Town's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 68%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmarthen Town Cwmbran Celtic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 3 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town
0:4
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town
1:0
Jan 7, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
3:1
Mar 29, 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carmarthen Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reffell K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Cwmbran Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Hinwood J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larcombe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmarthen Town 95 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmarthen Town Cwmbran Celtic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmbran Celtic let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Carmarthen Town's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cwmbran Celtic lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carmarthen Town VS Cwmbran Celtic
3 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810