Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 Richmond Park, Carmarthen 
Match Events
39'
39'
Thomas L.
50'
50'
Reffell K.
72'
72'
Hinwood J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carmarthen Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cwmbran Celtic haven't matched Carmarthen Town's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Carmarthen Town's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 68%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Cwmbran Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.01 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town
0:4
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town
1:0
Jan 7, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
3:1
Mar 29, 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reffell K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.32
Avg xA / game 1.5
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Hinwood J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Larcombe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 95 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Cwmbran Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmarthen Town scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Cwmbran Celtic has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Carmarthen Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS Cwmbran Celtic
2.63 Goals Scored 1.4
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 4
Cwmbran Celtic
(Away) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
24 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
21 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
14 Feb
Llantwit Major
3 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Jan
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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