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Carmarthen Town vs Pure Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carmarthen Town host Pure Swansea in the Cymru South. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Carmarthen Town have averaged 2.3 scored and 2.1 conceded recently, against Pure Swansea's 1.82 scored and 1.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Carmarthen Town have won 4 to Pure Swansea's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2023, ending 0:5. xG projections (2.00 - 2.94) back Carmarthen Town to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Carmarthen Town
30%
Draws
62%
Pure Swansea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Carmarthen Town average 2.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Pure Swansea's 1.82.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Carmarthen Town here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmarthen Town Pure Swansea
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.3 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen Town
0:5
Aug 13, 2022 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Pure Swansea
5:0
Feb 26, 2022 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen Town
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Pure Swansea
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmarthen Town 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmarthen Town Pure Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carmarthen Town's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pure Swansea conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Carmarthen Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carmarthen Town VS Pure Swansea
2.13 Goals Scored 3.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmarthen Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Pontardawe
2 : 1
Carmarthen Town
23 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3
Caerphilly
17 Oct
Carmarthen Town
4 : 5
Newport City
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

Pure Swansea

(Away)
31 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
4 : 2
Pure Swansea
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontypridd United 12 7 3 2 32:21 24
2 Aberystwyth 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Caerau Ely 12 7 1 4 23:20 22
4 Pure Swansea 10 6 3 1 32:15 21
5 Ynyshir Albions 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
6 Baglan Dragons 12 5 2 5 12:13 17
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 12 4 4 4 24:21 16
8 Treowen 11 5 1 5 20:21 16
9 Carmarthen Town 12 4 3 5 24:26 15
10 Afan Lido 13 4 3 6 21:24 15
11 Caerphilly 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
12 Pontardawe 10 4 1 5 17:18 13
13 Newport City 10 3 3 4 19:15 12
14 Cardiff Draconians 10 3 3 4 14:17 12
15 Llantwit Major 11 3 2 6 12:24 11
16 Llanelli 13 0 2 11 9:40 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)