Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Treowen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
18'
18'
Aylward T.
65'
65'
Evans M.
73'
73'
Foxwell J.
AI Match Summary
Treowen in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treowen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treowen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
16%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Treowen lately — more wins on the board than Carmarthen Town.
- Carmarthen Town are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- Treowen have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Treowen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Treowen
2:4
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Carmarthen Town
4:1
Sep 12, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Treowen
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Aylward T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jones H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Treowen Compare
Top Goalscorer Gameson T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Evans M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 38 / 100
Treowen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Treowen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmarthen Town's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Treowen has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Treowen lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS Treowen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 31 Oct
Pontardawe
2 : 1 Carmarthen Town
23 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3 Caerphilly
17 Oct
Carmarthen Town
4 : 5 Newport City
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7
23 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3 Caerphilly
17 Oct
Carmarthen Town
4 : 5 Newport City
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 4
Treowen
(Away) 06 Nov
Newport City
2 : 2 Treowen
30 Oct
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Treowen
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
Page 1 of 7
06 Nov
Newport City
2 : 2 Treowen
30 Oct
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Treowen
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd United | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35:22 | 27 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 22 |
| 4 | Pure Swansea | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 32:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24:26 | 18 |
| 8 | Treowen | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22:23 | 17 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:26 | 15 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Caerphilly | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 13 | Newport City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12:43 | 3 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
