Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
Wales
FA Cup Richmond Park 
AI Match Summary
The FA Cup game between Carmarthen Town and Trethomas Bluebirds finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carmarthen Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carmarthen Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Carmarthen Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Carmarthen Town taking it.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Trethomas Bluebirds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town
4:5
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 FA Cup
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
5:1
Dec 28, 2024 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:0
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 83 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Trethomas Bluebirds
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trethomas Bluebirds has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Carmarthen Town found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Carmarthen Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS Trethomas Bluebirds
3 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog3
Denbigh2
TBD-
Buckley-
Port Talbot2
Seven Sisters1
Afan Lido3
Evans Williams2
Pwllheli1
Rhyl3
Brickfield Rangers3
NFA1
Llantwit Major2
Baglan Dragons0
Cwmbran Town5
Ynyshir Albions4
Llanelli-
TBD-
TBD-
Haverfordwest-
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
Barry Town-
Caerphilly1
Caldicot3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers7
Pentwynmawr Ath0
Saltney Town3
Gresford7
Llanrug4
Ruthin Town3
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Taffs Well2
Abertillery Excelsiors1
Mold Alexandra-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Llannefydd5
Llanberis FC1
Penrhyncoch2
Sychdyn Utd0
Llwydcoed3
Lliswerry1
Pill-
Treowen-
Pontypridd United-
TBD-
Rhayader1
Cefn Cribwr4
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Trethomas Bluebirds-
Llanfair United1
Kinmel Bay2
TBD-
Colwyn Bay-
Goytre Utd2
Ammanford Town1
TBD-
Cambrian United-
Briton Ferry-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont-
Bow Street4
Cefn Albion2
TBD-
Flint Town-
Holyhead4
Forden Utd0
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Cwmbach Royal Stars3
Garden Village4
Tredegar Town1
Glynneath Town3
Broughton Utd2
Welshpool1
Berriew FC0
Trearddur Bay3
Newport City-
TBD-
Penygraig Utd3
Cwm Welfare2
Blaenavon Blues4
Canton1
Pontyclun FC4
Tata Steel1
St. Asaph0
Bangor 18766
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Holywell Town FC-
TBD-
Rhostyllen5
Nefyn United2
Dinas Powys3
Afan United1
Cardiff Draconians4
Cwmbran Celtic2
Abercarn United1
Pure Swansea2
TBD-
Trefelin-
Caersws FC6
Hawarden Rangers1
Dolgellau Athletic8
Queens Park3
Penydarren0
Caerau Ely5
Morriston Town1
Clydach0
Llandudno FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Flint Mountain-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
1/32-finals
Porthmadog1
Buckley0
Port Talbot3
Afan Lido1
Rhyl1
Brickfield Rangers0
Llantwit Major1
Cwmbran Town2
Llanelli3
Haverfordwest0
Aberystwyth0
Barry Town5
Caldicot0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers2
Gresford9
Llanrug0
Cardiff Metropolitan University5
Taffs Well1
Mold Alexandra1
TNS2
Newtown0
Caernarfon3
Llannefydd1
Penrhyncoch2
Llwydcoed2
Treowen5
Pontypridd United3
Cefn Cribwr1
Carmarthen Town5
Trethomas Bluebirds1
Kinmel Bay0
Colwyn Bay5
Goytre Utd0
Cambrian United6
Briton Ferry0
Penybont5
Bow Street0
Flint Town3
Holyhead2
Airbus UK Broughton FC5
Garden Village2
Glynneath Town4
Broughton Utd0
Trearddur Bay6
Newport City3
Penygraig Utd1
Blaenavon Blues4
Pontyclun FC2
Bangor 18762
Guilsfield1
Holywell Town FC3
Rhostyllen2
Dinas Powys1
Cardiff Draconians3
Pure Swansea1
Trefelin6
Caersws FC0
Dolgellau Athletic1
Caerau Ely3
Morriston Town0
Llandudno FC3
Flint Mountain0
Bala0
Connahs Q.3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog3
Port Talbot2
Rhyl3
Cwmbran Town2
Llanelli0
Barry Town6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers0
Gresford3
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
TNS1
Caernarfon4
Penrhyncoch0
Treowen1
Pontypridd United2
Carmarthen Town1
Colwyn Bay3
Cambrian United1
Penybont3
Flint Town1
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Glynneath Town2
Trearddur Bay5
Newport City3
Blaenavon Blues2
Bangor 18762
Holywell Town FC1
Cardiff Draconians3
Trefelin4
Dolgellau Athletic0
Caerau Ely2
Llandudno FC2
Connahs Q.1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog1
Rhyl2
Barry Town4
Gresford0
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Caernarfon4
Pontypridd United0
Colwyn Bay3
Penybont0
Flint Town1
Trearddur Bay5
Newport City3
Bangor 18762
Trefelin0
Caerau Ely2
Llandudno FC1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl2
Barry Town1
Caernarfon4
Colwyn Bay1
Flint Town3
Trearddur Bay0
Bangor 18763
Caerau Ely1
Semi-finals
Rhyl1
Caernarfon2
Flint Town5
Bangor 18761
Final
Caernarfon3
Flint Town0