Sport Picks

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Carmelita vs CS Uruguay

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Rosales S.
44' Event
Gonzalez S.
47' Event
Villalobos W.

AI Match Summary

Carmelita in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carmelita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Carmelita
15%
Draws
39%
CS Uruguay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carmelita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CS Uruguay lately — more wins on the board than Carmelita.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Carmelita taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 68%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmelita CS Uruguay
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
6:0
Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Carmelita
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs CS Uruguay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carmelita Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosales S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CS Uruguay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmelita 95 / 100
CS Uruguay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmelita CS Uruguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmelita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Carmelita scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: CS Uruguay conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Carmelita has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carmelita VS CS Uruguay
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmelita

(Home)
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

CS Uruguay

(Away)
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
23 Aug
Santa Ana
3 : 1
CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
2 Quepos FC 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Grecia 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
4 AD Sarchi 7 3 2 2 8:10 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
7 Cofutpa 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 7 5 0 2 11:8 15
2 Pitbulls 6 4 2 0 12:7 14
3 Aserri 7 4 2 1 8:4 14
4 Carmelita 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
5 Cariari Pococi 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
7 Guadalupe 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
8 FC Moravia 7 1 1 5 8:10 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)