Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carmopolis vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2025
Carmopolis Logo

Carmopolis

1 - 2
FT
Confianca Logo

Confianca

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Nixon
(Penalty)
73' Event
Santos Oliveira L.
78' Event
Fabio Silva
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Confianca in this Sergipano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Confianca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Carmopolis
35%
Draws
32%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Confianca lately — more wins on the board than Carmopolis.
  • Carmopolis are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Carmopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Confianca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmopolis Confianca
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Sergipano
Carmopolis vs Confianca
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Sergipano
Confianca vs Carmopolis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carmopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos Oliveira L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabio Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmopolis 42 / 100
Confianca 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmopolis Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carmopolis scored in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Confianca let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Confianca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Confianca
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmopolis

(Home)
01 Mar
Guarany SE
2 : 1
Carmopolis
22 Feb
Carmopolis
1 : 1
Lagarto
15 Feb
Carmopolis
1 : 1
America de Propria
10 Feb
Falcon
3 : 2
Carmopolis
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
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Confianca

(Away)
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Confianca 9 6 2 1 26:8 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
3 Lagarto 9 5 2 2 20:8 17
4 America de Propria 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 4 1 4 9:19 13
6 Falcon 9 4 0 5 11:15 12
7 Sergipe 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
8 Dorense 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
9 Barra SE 9 2 1 6 8:27 7
10 Carmopolis 9 0 3 6 10:16 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano 2025 (Play Offs)