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Carmopolis vs Olimpico EC

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Carmopolis
20%
Draws
69%
Olimpico EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpico EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Olimpico EC have won more games recently than Carmopolis.
  • Win probability leans Olimpico EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Carmopolis Clean Sheet 16%
Olimpico EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carmopolis Olimpico EC
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Sergipano
Carmopolis vs Olimpico EC
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Sergipano
Olimpico EC vs Carmopolis
1:4
Feb 4, 2024 Sergipano
Carmopolis vs Olimpico EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carmopolis 10 / 100
Olimpico EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carmopolis Olimpico EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpico EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carmopolis scored in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Olimpico EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Carmopolis remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carmopolis VS Olimpico EC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carmopolis

(Home)
01 Mar
Guarany SE
2 : 1
Carmopolis
22 Feb
Carmopolis
1 : 1
Lagarto
15 Feb
Carmopolis
1 : 1
America de Propria
10 Feb
Falcon
3 : 2
Carmopolis
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
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Olimpico EC

(Away)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1
Flamengo SE
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
11 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
2 : 0
Olimpico EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Confianca 9 7 0 2 16:6 21
2 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 12:4 20
3 Lagarto 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
4 Itabaiana 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
5 Dorense 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
6 Falcon 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
7 America de Propria 9 3 2 4 13:10 11
8 Carmopolis 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Olimpico EC 9 2 1 6 7:12 7
10 Atletico Gloriense 9 1 0 8 6:22 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sergipano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)