Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carno FC vs Conwy Borough

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The FA Cup 2009/2010 game between Carno FC and Conwy Borough finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conwy Borough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Carno FC
11%
Draws
80%
Conwy Borough
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Conwy Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Conwy Borough carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Conwy Borough are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2009/2010 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carno FC Clean Sheet 10%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carno FC Conwy Borough
Matches Played 9 32
Wins 0 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 4 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup
Carno FC vs Conwy Borough
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carno FC 10 / 100
Conwy Borough 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carno FC Conwy Borough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conwy Borough has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Conwy Borough has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Carno FC's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Carno FC VS Conwy Borough
0 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala1
Llanrug0
Caersws FC4
Coedpoeth1
Caerau Ely1
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.3
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangollen1
Llandudno Junction3
Cambrian United0
TNS2
Haverfordwest1
Aberystwyth2
Caldicot0
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn3
Grange Harlequins0
Porthmadog3
Rhydymwyn1
Rhyl4
Bridgend Town2
Pontardawe2
Llandudno FC0
Flint Town0
Bangor City1
Aberaman2
Ely Rangers0
Llanelli3
Carmarthen Town1
Llangeinor1
Holyhead6
1/8-finals
Bala2
Caersws FC0
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.1
Llandudno Junction0
TNS6
Aberystwyth0
Port Talbot2
Prestatyn1
Porthmadog0
Rhyl7
Pontardawe0
Bangor City3
Aberaman1
Llanelli4
Holyhead0
Quarter-finals
Bala2
Afan Lido0
TNS2
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn5
Rhyl4
Bangor City2
Llanelli0
Semi-finals
Bala0
Port Talbot1
Prestatyn0
Bangor City2
Final
Port Talbot2
Bangor City3