Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carolina Core vs Atlanta United 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 Truist Point
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Weah P.
Assist: Carmichael R.
37' Event
Ibarra J.
38'
Ibarra J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between Carolina Core and Atlanta United 2 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Core.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Carolina Core
40%
Draws
29%
Atlanta United 2
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlanta United 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Core Atlanta United 2
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.25 3
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Atlanta United 2
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Carolina Core
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Atlanta United 2
4:2
Jul 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Atlanta United 2
2:1
Apr 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Carolina Core
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarra J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canete F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weah P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pita S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Core 30 / 100
Atlanta United 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Core Atlanta United 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Core's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Atlanta United 2 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Atlanta United 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Core VS Atlanta United 2
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717