Sport Picks
Match Events
65'
65'
Marcone A.
86'
86'
Austoni F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Caronnese and Arconatese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arconatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Caronnese haven't matched Arconatese's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Arconatese have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 68%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caronnese | Arconatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 2 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 21 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Arconatese
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Caronnese
2:0
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Arconatese vs Caronnese
3:0
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Arconatese
0:1
Jan 10, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Arconatese vs Caronnese
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caronnese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Arconatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcone A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caronnese 41 / 100
Arconatese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caronnese Arconatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caronnese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arconatese let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Arconatese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Caronnese found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Arconatese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Caronnese
(Home) 07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
01 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 1 Arconatese
12 Mar
Caronnese
1 : 2 Breno
Page 1 of 3
Arconatese
(Away) 16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1 Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 8
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0 Arconatese
06 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
3 : 0 Arconatese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)
