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Caronnese vs Ciserano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Caronnese Logo

Caronnese

3 - 4
FT
Ciserano Logo

Ciserano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ciserano in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciserano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
15%
Draws
85%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciserano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Caronnese haven't matched Ciserano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caronnese's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 15%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Ciserano
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Ciserano
3:4
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Caronnese
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 39 / 100
Ciserano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caronnese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ciserano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caronnese scored in 53% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Caronnese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 7

Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)