Sport Picks
Caronnese vs Folgore Caratese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 
Match Events
30'
30'
Braidich D.
(Penalty)
33'
33'
Gualdi L.
52'
52'
Liberati F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Caronnese and Folgore Caratese finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Folgore Caratese a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 17%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caronnese | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 2 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 15 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Folgore Caratese
1:3
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Caronnese
3:0
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Caronnese
2:3
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Caronnese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caronnese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Gualdi L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Liberati F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caronnese 20 / 100
Folgore Caratese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caronnese Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 68% of their last 40 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Caronnese scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Folgore Caratese's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Caronnese
(Home) 07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
01 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 1 Arconatese
12 Mar
Caronnese
1 : 2 Breno
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 8
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)
