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Caronnese vs Real Calepina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Zappa C.

AI Match Summary

Real Calepina in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Calepina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
30%
Draws
70%
Real Calepina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Calepina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Real Calepina have won more games recently than Caronnese.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Real Calepina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 20%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Real Calepina
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Real Calepina
0:1
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Caronnese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caronnese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Zappa C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 10 / 100
Real Calepina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Real Calepina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Calepina conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Caronnese scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Real Calepina has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Calepina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Real Calepina

(Away)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)