Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caronnese vs Verbania

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Wed, Mar 11, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caronnese host Verbania in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Caronnese have averaged 0.68 scored and 1.87 conceded recently, against Verbania's 0.85 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Caronnese have won 3 to Verbania's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.56) back Verbania to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
15%
Draws
85%
Verbania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verbania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Verbania lately — more wins on the board than Caronnese.
  • Model gives Verbania a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 15%
Verbania Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Verbania
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 2 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.68 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Verbania
0:0
Oct 30, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Verbania vs Caronnese
0:0
Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Verbania vs Caronnese
0:1
Sep 11, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Verbania
2:1
Apr 6, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Verbania
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 15 / 100
Verbania 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Verbania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verbania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verbania has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Away concern: Verbania has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Caronnese's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Caronnese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 7

Verbania

(Away)
16 Feb
Verbania
1 : 0
Fezzanese
09 Feb
Verbania
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
02 Feb
AC Chieri
2 : 0
Verbania
26 Jan
Verbania
2 : 3
Fossano
19 Jan
Prato
5 : 0
Verbania
Page 1 of 4