Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Zagnoni D.
26'
26'
Montipo M.
Assist: Morosini L.
30'
30'
Anastasia E.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
- Model gives Cittadella a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Cittadella have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Carpi Clean Sheet 12%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carpi | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Cittadella
1:2
Aug 18, 2019 Coppa Italia
Cittadella vs Carpi
4:3
Jan 26, 2019 Serie B
Cittadella vs Carpi
3:1
Sep 1, 2018 Serie B
Carpi vs Cittadella
0:1
May 12, 2018 Serie B
Carpi vs Cittadella
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Montipo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Paolucci L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Antonucci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carpi 27 / 100
Cittadella 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carpi Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Carpi found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Cittadella let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Carpi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carpi VS Cittadella
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Carpi
(Home) 13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3 Juventus U23
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3 Juventus U23
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2 Pianese
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Ospitaletto | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Union Brescia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Alcione Milano | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Trento | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 7 | Treviso | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Arzignano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Lecco | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 10 | Carpi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | AlbinoLeffe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Novara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Desenzano Calvina | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1:3 | 5 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 19 | Renate | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Giana Erminio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
