Sport Picks
Carpi vs Cittadella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi 
Match Events
16'
16'
Zagnoni D.
26'
26'
Montipo M.
Assist: Morosini L.
30'
30'
Anastasia E.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
- Model gives Cittadella a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Cittadella have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Carpi Clean Sheet 11%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carpi | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Cittadella
1:2
Aug 18, 2019 Coppa Italia
Cittadella vs Carpi
4:3
Jan 26, 2019 Serie B
Cittadella vs Carpi
3:1
Sep 1, 2018 Serie B
Carpi vs Cittadella
0:1
May 12, 2018 Serie B
Carpi vs Cittadella
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Montipo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Paolucci L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Antonucci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carpi 22 / 100
Cittadella 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carpi Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Carpi found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Carpi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Cittadella let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Carpi VS Cittadella
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Carpi
(Home) 01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5 Renate
28 Oct
Carpi
4 : 3 Ravenna
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2 Carpi
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1 Lumezzane
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5 Renate
28 Oct
Carpi
4 : 3 Ravenna
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1 Lumezzane
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 01 Nov
Cittadella
1 : 0 Treviso
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2 Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0 Arzignano
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2 Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2 Cittadella
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Trento | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17:6 | 24 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21:18 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 10 | Pergolettese | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 18 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Renate | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:16 | 8 |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
