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Carpi vs Giana Erminio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carpi host Giana Erminio in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Giana Erminio have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Carpi have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Carpi have won 1 to Giana Erminio's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2023, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.63) back Carpi to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Carpi
20%
Draws
38%
Giana Erminio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Carpi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Carpi Clean Sheet 14%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Giana Erminio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Giana Erminio vs Carpi
2:0
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Giana Erminio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 31 / 100
Giana Erminio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Giana Erminio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carpi scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Giana Erminio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Carpi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Giana Erminio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5
Renate
28 Oct
Carpi
4 : 3
Ravenna
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2
Carpi
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1
Lumezzane
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

Giana Erminio

(Away)
31 Oct
Giana Erminio
1 : 3
Alcione Milano
25 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 2
Giana Erminio
19 Oct
Giana Erminio
2 : 1
Union Brescia
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)