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Carpi vs Juventus U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Lombardi L.
22' Event
Morosini L.
Assist: Figoli M.
26' Event
Puletto F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Carpi
20%
Draws
29%
Juventus U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Carpi have won more games recently than Juventus U23.
  • Carpi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Carpi Clean Sheet 16%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Juventus U23
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Juventus U23
3:3
Jan 3, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Carpi
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Juventus U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Morosini L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puletto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pagnucco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaradio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 41 / 100
Juventus U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Juventus U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Carpi scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Juventus U23 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Carpi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Juventus U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5
Renate
28 Oct
Carpi
4 : 3
Ravenna
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2
Carpi
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1
Lumezzane
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
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Juventus U23

(Away)
02 Nov
Juventus U23
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
25 Oct
Trento
2 : 1
Juventus U23
19 Oct
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Renate
13 Oct
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Lumezzane
10 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 1
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 13 8 4 1 26:11 28
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 13 6 3 4 19:15 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 13 4 6 3 21:19 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 13 4 4 5 14:17 16
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)