Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carpi vs Juventus U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Lombardi L.
22' Event
Morosini L.
Assist: Figoli M.
26' Event
Puletto F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Carpi
35%
Draws
13%
Juventus U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Juventus U23 have won more games recently than Carpi.
  • Carpi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Carpi Clean Sheet 18%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Juventus U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Juventus U23
3:3
Jan 3, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Carpi
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Juventus U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Morosini L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puletto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pagnucco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaradio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 41 / 100
Juventus U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Juventus U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Carpi scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Juventus U23 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Carpi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Juventus U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 7

Juventus U23

(Away)
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 6 6 0 0 10:2 18
2 Union Brescia 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
3 Ospitaletto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Arzignano 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
5 Alcione Milano 6 2 3 1 9:10 9
6 Trento 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
7 Dolomiti Bellunesi 5 2 3 0 4:2 9
8 AlbinoLeffe 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Treviso 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
10 Lecco 6 2 2 2 4:3 8
11 Carpi 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
12 Novara 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
13 Pergolettese 6 1 3 2 1:3 6
14 Juventus U23 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
15 Pro Vercelli 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
16 Lumezzane 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
17 Desenzano Calvina 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
18 Folgore Caratese 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
19 Giana Erminio 6 0 2 4 5:9 2
20 Renate 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)