Sport Picks
Carpi vs Ospitaletto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi 
Match Events
11'
11'
Messaggi C.
Assist: Valente M.
18'
18'
Rossini M.
Assist: Desole F.
24'
24'
Casarini F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ospitaletto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ospitaletto have won more games recently than Carpi.
- 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Carpi Clean Sheet 11%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carpi | Ospitaletto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Ospitaletto
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Rossini M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Casarini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ospitaletto Compare
Top Goalscorer Messaggi C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guarneri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carpi 35 / 100
Ospitaletto 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carpi Ospitaletto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Carpi scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Ospitaletto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Carpi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carpi VS Ospitaletto
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Carpi
(Home) 03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0 Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 3
Ospitaletto
(Away) 03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Ospitaletto
14 Aug
Trento
2 : 1 Ospitaletto
08 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
