Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carpi vs Pineto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Tonti A.
Own Goal
36' Event
Pellegrino A.
50'
Rosetti M.

AI Match Summary

Pineto in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pineto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Carpi
35%
Draws
19%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pineto lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
  • Model gives Carpi a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Carpi Clean Sheet 68%
Pineto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Pineto
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Pineto
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Carpi
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Pineto
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Carpi
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borsoi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 50 / 100
Pineto 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carpi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Pineto let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Carpi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Pineto
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3
Juventus U23
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1
Carpi
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2
Pianese
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1
Carpi
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 6

Pineto

(Away)
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0
Livorno
23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0
Pineto
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2
Gubbio
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)