Sport Picks
Carpi vs Pro Vercelli
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi 
Match Events
48'
48'
Van Koeverden L.
Assist: Rutigliano M.
90'
90'
Casarini F.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Comi G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Pro Vercelli have won more games recently than Carpi.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Pro Vercelli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Carpi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Carpi Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carpi | Pro Vercelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Carpi vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
Nov 6, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pro Vercelli vs Carpi
1:0
Mar 19, 2018 Serie B
Carpi vs Pro Vercelli
2:0
Oct 21, 2017 Serie B
Pro Vercelli vs Carpi
0:0
Apr 4, 2017 Serie B
Carpi vs Pro Vercelli
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carpi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pro Vercelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Van Koeverden L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carpi 41 / 100
Pro Vercelli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carpi Pro Vercelli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carpi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Carpi scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Pro Vercelli conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Carpi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Carpi VS Pro Vercelli
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Carpi
(Home) 27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 3
Pro Vercelli
(Away) 26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
