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Carpi vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carpi host Renate in the Serie C - Group A. This one's hard to separate. Carpi have averaged 1.26 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Renate's 1.52 scored and 1.38 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.38) point toward Renate. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Carpi
30%
Draws
23%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renate lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
  • Model gives Carpi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Carpi Clean Sheet 17%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Renate
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 36 / 100
Renate 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Renate let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Renate's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Carpi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Renate
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1
Lumezzane
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

Renate

(Away)
19 Oct
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Renate
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 10 9 0 1 17:4 27
2 Trento 10 5 5 0 15:5 20
3 Union Brescia 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Ospitaletto 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
5 Arzignano 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Treviso 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
7 Alcione Milano 10 3 6 1 17:15 15
8 Pergolettese 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
9 Lecco 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
10 AlbinoLeffe 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
11 Desenzano Calvina 10 3 4 3 9:11 13
12 Lumezzane 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
13 Novara 10 2 4 4 10:14 10
14 Dolomiti Bellunesi 10 2 4 4 7:12 10
15 Juventus U23 10 2 4 4 10:16 10
16 Carpi 10 2 3 5 14:20 9
17 Pro Vercelli 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
18 Giana Erminio 10 1 5 4 10:13 8
19 Folgore Caratese 10 1 3 6 9:15 6
20 Renate 10 0 4 6 9:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)