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Carpina SC vs Jaguar

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Pernambucano 2 2012
Carpina SC Logo

Carpina SC

3 - 2
FT
Jaguar Logo

Jaguar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Carpina SC and Jaguar finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carpina SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Carpina SC
15%
Draws
7%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carpina SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carpina SC come out ahead of Jaguar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Carpina SC a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Carpina SC Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpina SC Jaguar
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Carpina SC vs Jaguar
3:2
Jul 29, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Carpina SC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpina SC 85 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpina SC Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carpina SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carpina SC scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Jaguar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Carpina SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaguar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpina SC

(Home)
10 Oct
Carpina SC
2 : 3
Timbauba FC
03 Oct
Ipojuca
1 : 2
Carpina SC
26 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 3
Carpina SC
23 Sept
Carpina SC
3 : 2
Jaguar
19 Sept
Sete de Setembro (PE)
0 : 2
Carpina SC
Page 1 of 6

Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)