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Carquefou vs Amiens SC

France France

National 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pouye O.
57' Event
Fachan M.
65' Event
Marega M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2013/2014 game between Carquefou and Amiens SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amiens SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Carquefou
30%
Draws
64%
Amiens SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Carquefou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Amiens SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Carquefou Clean Sheet 21%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carquefou Amiens SC
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2014 Ligue 3
Carquefou vs Amiens SC
1:2
Jan 10, 2014 Ligue 3
Amiens SC vs Carquefou
2:2
May 11, 2013 Ligue 3
Carquefou vs Amiens SC
1:1
Dec 21, 2012 Ligue 3
Amiens SC vs Carquefou
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carquefou Compare

Top Goalscorer Fachan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Amiens SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pouye O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marega M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carquefou 10 / 100
Amiens SC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carquefou Amiens SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carquefou's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Amiens SC conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Carquefou has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amiens SC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carquefou

(Home)
13 Nov
Carquefou
0 : 1
US Tregunc
16 Nov
Fougeres
2 : 1
Carquefou
23 May
GFC Ajaccio
4 : 1
Carquefou
16 May
Carquefou
1 : 2
Amiens SC
09 May
Luzenac
2 : 2
Carquefou
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Amiens SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
29 Aug
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Versailles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orleans 34 17 14 3 46:22 65
2 Luzenac 34 17 12 5 51:30 63
3 GFC Ajaccio 34 17 9 8 45:27 60
4 Colmar 34 13 11 10 37:39 50
5 Dunkerque 34 12 14 8 35:30 50
6 Amiens SC 34 12 13 9 32:24 49
7 Red Star 34 12 12 10 37:33 48
8 Carquefou 34 11 14 9 32:30 47
9 Paris FC 34 11 13 10 32:27 46
10 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 12 10 12 35:35 44
11 Bourg Peronnas 34 11 10 13 38:45 43
12 Lucon 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Le Poire Sur Vie 34 11 8 15 37:52 41
14 Boulogne 34 11 7 16 36:40 40
15 Colomiers 34 10 9 15 39:39 39
16 Strasbourg 34 8 11 15 36:40 35
17 Vannes 34 6 14 14 35:45 29
18 Pont Du Gard 34 5 8 21 25:61 23
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)