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Carrarese vs Arezzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Rouhi J.
22'
Sub
Gilli M. In: Coppolaro M.
Out: Gilli M.
43'
Abiuso F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Carrarese and Arezzo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carrarese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Carrarese
15%
Draws
26%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrarese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Arezzo's recent run of results.
  • Carrarese are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Arezzo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Arezzo
2:1
Jan 14, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Carrarese vs Arezzo
2:3
Sep 9, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Carrarese
1:3
Aug 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Carrarese vs Arezzo
3:1
Mar 29, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Arezzo vs Carrarese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrarese Compare

Top Goalscorer Topalovic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parlanti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Arezzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 86 / 100
Arezzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrarese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Arezzo let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Carrarese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Arezzo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Arezzo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
28 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Arezzo
25 Oct
Palermo
2 : 1
Carrarese
17 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Modena
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 6

Arezzo

(Away)
28 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Arezzo
24 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 3
Benevento
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)