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Carrarese vs Cesena Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Parlanti G.
46'
Sub
Parlanti G. In: Zuelli E.
Out: Parlanti G.
46'
Sub
Torregrossa E. In: Rubino T.
Out: Torregrossa E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Carrarese
35%
Draws
57%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Cesena's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 15%
Cesena Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Cesena
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Cesena
0:0
Oct 28, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Carrarese
2:1
Dec 29, 2024 Serie B
Carrarese vs Cesena
2:0
Aug 18, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Carrarese
2:1
Mar 5, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Carrarese vs Cesena
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 35 / 100
Cesena 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesena let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Carrarese found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Carrarese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Cesena
0.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)