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Carrarese vs Pergocrema Prediction & H2H Stats

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Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012
Carrarese Logo

Carrarese

4 - 1
FT
Pergocrema Logo

Pergocrema

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gaeta A.
28' Event
45' Event
Volpato R.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 game between Carrarese and Pergocrema finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carrarese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Carrarese
30%
Draws
47%
Pergocrema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pergocrema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Carrarese's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Pergocrema have produced (0.87).
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Carrarese taking it.
  • Regular Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 20%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Pergocrema
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Carrarese vs Pergocrema
4:1
Dec 18, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Carrarese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrarese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaeta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Pergocrema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 85 / 100
Pergocrema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Pergocrema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrarese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Pergocrema let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Pergocrema has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Carrarese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
Page 1 of 7

Pergocrema

(Away)
06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1
Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3
Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0
Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1
Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 34 17 11 6 48:29 62
2 Trapani 34 17 9 8 57:42 60
3 Siracusa 34 18 9 7 46:31 58
4 Lanciano 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Cremonese 34 15 10 9 47:30 49
6 Barletta 34 12 13 9 43:38 48
7 Sudtirol 34 11 13 10 39:34 46
8 Carrarese 34 11 12 11 43:39 45
9 Frosinone 34 13 6 15 40:41 45
10 Portogruaro 34 9 13 12 40:45 40
11 Pergocrema 34 12 9 13 33:46 40
12 Fidelis Andria 34 9 12 13 37:38 39
13 FeralpiSalo 34 9 11 14 26:37 38
14 Prato 34 8 11 15 36:44 35
15 Triestina 34 9 8 17 43:55 35
16 Latina 34 8 11 15 37:45 35
17 Piacenza 34 10 13 11 41:49 34
18 Bassano Virtus 34 7 11 16 29:48 32
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)