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Carrarese vs Sampdoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrarese host Sampdoria in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Sampdoria have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Carrarese have conceded 1.18 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor Carrarese slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.00) back Carrarese to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Carrarese
15%
Draws
26%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrarese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sampdoria lately — more wins on the board than Carrarese.
  • Win probability leans Carrarese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 20%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Sampdoria
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Sampdoria
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Carrarese
3:2
Apr 25, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Sampdoria
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Carrarese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 85 / 100
Sampdoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrarese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sampdoria conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Carrarese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sampdoria has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Sampdoria
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
28 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Arezzo
25 Oct
Palermo
2 : 1
Carrarese
17 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Modena
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria

(Away)
31 Oct
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Entella
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 9 7 2 0 21:11 23
2 Modena 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
3 Ascoli 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
4 Mantova 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Benevento 9 4 3 2 14:8 15
6 Pisa 9 4 3 2 18:13 15
7 Padova 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Sudtirol 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
9 Verona 9 3 3 3 16:13 12
10 Avellino 9 3 3 3 13:10 12
11 Cesena 9 2 5 2 10:13 11
12 Entella 9 2 4 3 11:10 10
13 Carrarese 9 3 1 5 9:10 10
14 Arezzo 9 3 1 5 9:19 10
15 Cremonese 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
16 Vicenza 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Juve Stabia 9 3 3 3 9:9 8
18 Empoli 9 2 1 6 8:15 7
19 Sampdoria 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
20 Catanzaro 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)