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Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Kane L.
31'
Slevin R.
46'
Sub
Henderson J. In: McMenamin C.
Out: Henderson J.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Carrick Rangers
15%
Draws
78%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Carrick Rangers.
  • Model gives Coleraine a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 13%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Coleraine
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:4
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doherty B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 10 / 100
Coleraine 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Coleraine let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Carrick Rangers remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Coleraine
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Crusaders 9 5 0 4 15:14 15
5 Glentoran 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
7 Cliftonville 9 4 0 5 12:11 12
8 Carrick Rangers 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
9 Ballymena 8 2 3 3 12:11 9
10 Limavady 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Bangor FC 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
12 Portadown 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)