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Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers host Coleraine in the NIFL Premiership. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Carrick Rangers have averaged 2 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Coleraine's 2.38 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Coleraine slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.88) back Coleraine to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Carrick Rangers
33%
Draws
27%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Carrick Rangers.
  • Model gives Carrick Rangers a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Coleraine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:4
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 38 / 100
Coleraine 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Coleraine has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Carrick Rangers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Coleraine
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5
Carrick Rangers
18 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
06 May
Dungannon
3 : 1
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)