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Carrick Rangers vs Linfield

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers host Linfield in the NIFL Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Carrick Rangers at 2.1 goals for, 1.52 against; Linfield at 1.4 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Linfield slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward Carrick Rangers. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Carrick Rangers
20%
Draws
61%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Linfield have managed 1.4 goals a game lately — Carrick Rangers are scoring more at 2.1.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Linfield taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 16%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Linfield
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
2:0
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 19 / 100
Linfield 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Linfield has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Carrick Rangers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Linfield
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)