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Carrick Rangers vs Portadown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Jessop L.
38'
Lecky A.
38'
MacKinnon L.

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Carrick Rangers
30%
Draws
29%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carrick Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Portadown.
  • Carrick Rangers are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 17%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Portadown
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Carrick Rangers
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Heatley P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Portadown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 48 / 100
Portadown 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Portadown conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Carrick Rangers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Portadown
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Portadown

(Away)
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Portadown
3 : 1
Limavady
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 11 9 1 1 23:10 28
2 Linfield 10 8 1 1 14:6 25
3 Larne 7 6 1 0 15:3 19
4 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
5 Carrick Rangers 11 5 1 5 19:17 16
6 Crusaders 11 5 0 6 15:21 15
7 Dungannon 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
8 Ballymena 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
9 Cliftonville 11 4 0 7 12:13 12
10 Limavady 10 4 0 6 11:16 12
11 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
12 Bangor FC 11 1 2 8 10:24 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)