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Carrick Rangers vs PSNI

World World

Club Friendly 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kelly D.
68'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2019 game between Carrick Rangers and PSNI finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Carrick Rangers
15%
Draws
0%
PSNI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carrick Rangers come out ahead of PSNI on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Carrick Rangers taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
PSNI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers PSNI
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 17 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 2.38 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.52 3.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs PSNI
0:0
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs PSNI
1:0
Oct 27, 2018 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs PSNI
4:2
Sep 15, 2018 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Carrick Rangers
2:0
Apr 21, 2015 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Carrick Rangers
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

PSNI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 85 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers PSNI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: PSNI conceded in 96% of 25 recent games.

Difficult form: PSNI registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Portadown
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
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PSNI

(Away)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
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