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Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Arjona A.
35'
Fesquet A.
41'
Gutierrez Bellido J. M.

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma in this Primera Divisió matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Santa Coloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Carroi
15%
Draws
59%
FC Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Santa Coloma lately — more wins on the board than Carroi.
  • FC Santa Coloma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Santa Coloma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Carroi Clean Sheet 13%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi FC Santa Coloma
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 4 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.59 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma
0:3
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma
0:2
Dec 17, 2025 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Carroi
7:0
Apr 14, 2024 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Carroi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carroi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

FC Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz Martinez P. D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arjona A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 10 / 100
FC Santa Coloma 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi FC Santa Coloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santa Coloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Carroi scored in 37% of their last 27 games.

FC Santa Coloma has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Carroi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS FC Santa Coloma
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
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FC Santa Coloma

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6 : 2
FC Santa Coloma
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1 : 3
Rapid Vienna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
2 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 4 2 0 2 5:11 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)