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Carroi vs Penya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Ousalem A.
31'
Pimentel S.
42' Event
Andreu S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió game between Carroi and Penya finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Carroi
30%
Draws
39%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Penya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Carroi Clean Sheet 16%
Penya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Penya
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.59 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Carroi
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Carroi
2:1
May 12, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Penya Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 31 / 100
Penya 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penya conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Carroi scored in 37% of their last 27 outings.

Carroi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS Penya
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
11 Oct
FC Rangers
3 : 0
Carroi
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
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Penya

(Away)
11 Oct
Penya
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Inter Escaldes 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
3 Atletic Escaldes 4 2 2 0 9:3 8
4 FC Rangers 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Ordino 4 2 0 2 5:11 6
6 Esperanca 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Penya 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
8 Casa de Portugal 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
9 Carroi 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)