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Carroi vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carroi host Penya in the Primera Divisió. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Carroi at 0.54 goals for, 2.11 against; Penya at 0.86 for, 1.71 against. Head-to-head, Carroi have won 0 to Penya's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 1.19, favoring Penya. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Carroi
15%
Draws
51%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Penya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Carroi Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Penya
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.54 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Carroi
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Carroi
2:1
May 12, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
0:2
Feb 11, 2024 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Carroi
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 32 / 100
Penya 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penya conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Penya registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Carroi scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS Penya
0.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
19 Apr
Carroi
1 : 2
FC Rangers
11 Apr
Ordino
5 : 0
Carroi
22 Mar
Carroi
0 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
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Penya

(Away)
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
26 Apr
Ordino
0 : 1
Penya
18 Apr
Penya
0 : 2
UE Santa Coloma
13 Apr
Esperanca
0 : 1
Penya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 FC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Inter Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Atletic Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Penya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Ordino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Carroi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sporting Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Esperanca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Casa de Portugal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)