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Carroi vs Sporting Escaldes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF, Andorra la Vella
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carroi host Sporting Escaldes in the Primera Divisió. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Carroi have averaged 0.62 scored and 2.27 conceded recently, against Sporting Escaldes's 0.68 scored and 4.82 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.27 xG vs 1.28) point toward Carroi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Carroi
15%
Draws
0%
Sporting Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Carroi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Carroi a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Carroi Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Escaldes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Sporting Escaldes
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 4 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 16 27
Goals Scored 0.62 0.68
Goals Conceded 2.27 4.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 67 / 100
Sporting Escaldes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Sporting Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Escaldes has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Sporting Escaldes has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Carroi scored in 38% of their last 26 games.

Solid form: Carroi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS Sporting Escaldes
0.25 Goals Scored 0.57
2 Goals Conceded 2.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Escaldes

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 5
FC Santa Coloma
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Inter Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)