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Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carroi play UE Santa Coloma in the Primera Divisió. UE Santa Coloma are favorites here. Recently, Carroi averaged 0.54 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. UE Santa Coloma averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. In past meetings, Carroi won 0, UE Santa Coloma won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for Carroi and 1.63 for UE Santa Coloma. This points to a UE Santa Coloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Carroi
27%
Draws
57%
UE Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: UE Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Carroi picked up more points recently compared to UE Santa Coloma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Carroi Clean Sheet 14%
UE Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 25%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi UE Santa Coloma
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.54 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Carroi
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma
0:5
Apr 6, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma
0:3
Jan 28, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 17 / 100
UE Santa Coloma 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi UE Santa Coloma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Santa Coloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick UE Santa Coloma & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carroi attacking → ← attacking UE Santa Coloma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carroi scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

UE Santa Coloma let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Carroi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UE Santa Coloma lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 57
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Escaldes24173447:2454
2UE Santa Coloma24146442:1648
3FC Rangers24153646:2248
4FC Santa Coloma24135645:2044
5Atletic Escaldes241041031:2634
6Penya24731419:4124
7Ordino24641427:4222
8Carroi24451515:5517
9Esperanca24351618:4414
10Pas de la Casa00000:00