Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carshalton vs Chertsey Town

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Carshalton
30%
Draws
51%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Carshalton haven't matched Chertsey Town's recent run of results.
  • 19% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chertsey Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chertsey Town, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carshalton Chertsey Town
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 FA Cup
Carshalton vs Chertsey Town
1:2
Sep 5, 2026 FA Cup
Chertsey Town vs Carshalton
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carshalton 29 / 100
Chertsey Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carshalton Chertsey Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carshalton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chertsey Town conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Carshalton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carshalton VS Chertsey Town
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carshalton

(Home)
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

Chertsey Town

(Away)
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0
Malvern Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
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Macclesfield -
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
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Scarborough Athletic -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Morecambe -
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Southport -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
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Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
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Chorley -
Telford -
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Worksop -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
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Hereford -
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
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Spennymoor -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
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Chester -
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
AFC Totton -
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Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Spalding United -
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Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Harborough -
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Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
Bedford -
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King’s Lynn -
Hemel Hempstead -
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Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Brackley -
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Portchester 2
Portland United 1
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
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Chelmsford -
Chesham -
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Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
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Oxford City -
Billericay -
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Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
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Dagenham & Red. -
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Hednesford -
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Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
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Braintree -
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
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Dorking Wanderers -
Slough Town -
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Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Merthyr Town -
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Truro -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
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Farnham -
Tonbridge -
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Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Torquay -
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Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
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Maidstone -
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Hampton & Richmond -
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Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Weston-super-Mare -
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Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Walton & Hersham -
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Horsham FC -
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
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Farnborough -
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
Maidenhead -
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Ebbsfleet -
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Salisbury -
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Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Dover Ath. -
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Folkestone -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
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Quarter-finals
Redcar Athletic 1
Macclesfield 2
Dunston 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Marine 3
Radcliffe 2
Warrington Town 3
South Liverpool 0
Heaton Stannington 1
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 2
Prescot Cables 0
Hebburn Town 1
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 1
Lancaster 0
Leamington 1
Gainsborough 4
Anstey Nomads 2
Newcastle Town 1
Morecambe 2
Southport 0
Redcar Town 2
Darlington FC 4
Buxton 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 7
Witton Albion 0
Bury FC 5
Workington 1
Bromsgrove 2
Leek Town 1
Barton Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Warrington Rylands 0
Chorley 1
Telford 4
Worksop 7
United of Manchester 4
Ossett United 1
Stafford 3
Hereford 2
Halesowen 2
Mickleover 0
AFC Emley 0
Spennymoor 4
Lower Breck 1
Chester 2
Woodford Town 1
Mulbarton Wanderers 2
AFC Totton 0
Gloucester City 2
Gorleston 3
Bury Town 4
Spalding United 2
Hanley Town 0
Harborough 1
Rushall 0
FC Witham Town 0
St. Albans 3
Bedford 2
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Kettering 2
Quorn 0
Worcester 2
Stratford 1
Cambridge City 3
Buckhurst Hill 1
Alvechurch 3
Racing Club Warwick 1
Brackley 1
Portchester 0
Canvey Island 0
Chelmsford 1
Chesham 7
Ware 2
Harleston Town 1
Real Bedford 2
Dorchester 0
Oxford City 2
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Aveley 2
Brentwood 3
Waltham Abbey 1
Dagenham & Red. 4
Hitchin 1
Leiston 2
Hednesford 0
Coventry United 1
Redditch 3
Evesham 0
Berkhamsted Town 4
Hendon 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 1
Needham Market 3
Braintree 6
Southall FC 6
Dorking Wanderers 7
Slough Town 0
Chatham 1
Merthyr Town 1
Truro 3
Cirencester 4
Farnham 3
Tonbridge 2
Ramsgate 1
Torquay 6
AFC Stoneham 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Weymouth 3
Chichester City 2
SE Dons 3
Snodland 0
Sheppey United 1
Chertsey Town 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 1
Yate 1
Chippenham Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Crowborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wimborne 3
Frome Town 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Horsham FC 3
Uxbridge 4
Farnborough 2
Slimbridge 1
Hungerford 3
Maidenhead 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Salisbury 4
Taunton Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Welling 1
Thame United 3
Exmouth Town 3
Eastbourne Borough 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Hanwell Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Dover Ath. 4
Folkestone 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Tadley Calleva 1
Dartford 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Kingstonian 0
Leatherhead 1
Pagham 0
Hanworth Villa 6
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Semi-finals
Macclesfield -
Scarborough Athletic -
Marine -
Warrington Town -
Trafford -
Atherton Collieries -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA -
Gainsborough -
Anstey Nomads -
Morecambe -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
South Shields -
Bury FC -
Bromsgrove -
Barton Town -
Chorley -
Worksop -
United of Manchester -
Stafford -
Halesowen -
Spennymoor -
Chester -
Mulbarton Wanderers -
Gloucester City -
Bury Town -
Spalding United -
Harborough -
St. Albans -
Bedford -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kettering -
Worcester -
Cambridge City -
Alvechurch -
Brackley -
Chelmsford -
Chesham -
Real Bedford -
Oxford City -
Enfield Town -
Brentwood -
Dagenham & Red. -
Leiston -
Coventry United -
Redditch -
Berkhamsted Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Braintree -
Dorking Wanderers -
Chatham -
Truro -
Cirencester -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
Weymouth -
SE Dons -
Sheppey United -
Chertsey Town -
Cray Wanderers -
Chippenham Town -
Crowborough -
Wimborne -
Plymouth Parkway -
Horsham FC -
Uxbridge -
Hungerford -
Ebbsfleet -
Sholing -
Salisbury -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Eastbourne Borough -
Hanwell Town -
Dover Ath. -
Tadley Calleva -
Dartford -
Leatherhead -
Hanworth Villa -
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